Tuesday, October 23, 2012

Double "Bombshell"--UPDATED

UPDATE:  The Allred story involves Romney lying under oath in an acrimonious divorce case involving Staples' founder Tom Stemberg in a conspiracy  to low-ball the company's 
worth to screw over his wife.


Trump is about to go public with his story which now may center on Obama's cocaine use at Colombia University 30 years ago.  Or it maybe about Obama's college transcript. This yellow-haired fatted vulgar cow is the lowest form of life.

Two very publicity hungry individuals both will try to launch some mud tomorrow in the 2012 presidential election.  The first by the execrable Donald Trump features the already published account of Obama marriage troubles in 2000 following the president's failed attempt to win a congressional seat in Chicago.  

Here's the whole story....http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2222070/Donald-Trump-reveal-divorce-papers-Michelle-Barack-Obama--claims-respected-financial-pundit.html

The other "bombshell" is by Gloria Allred and is just as laughable.  It's an old story about Romney talking a woman out of an abortion.  Snooze snooze.  Really Gloria?

Here's that story..........http://www.lifenews.com/2012/10/23/will-october-surprise-show-romney-talking-woman-out-of-abortion/

Three Yards & A Cloud Of Dust.......

After last night's third and final presidential debate in Boca Raton, where Mitt Romney took a beating from Barack Obama, there are only two weeks left before most of us go the polls.   This will be a squeaker but barring any unforeseen circumstances I think the President has a fundamental advantage.

This country has been extremely polarized since the 2000 election and this basic red-blue split played itself out in 2004 and in 2008 (with Obama overperforming due to some very favorable tailwinds).  As it stands now I think Obama takes 290 electoral votes to Romney's 248--essentially what happened in 2004 in reverse.  

FL. (04...Bush 52.1.....08 Obama 50.9) Romney leads +2.1
OH (04...Bush 50.8.....08 Obama 51.4) Obama   leads +2.1
NC (04...Bush 56........08 Obama 49.7) Romney leads +5.6
VA (04...Bush 53.7.....08 Obama 52.6)  Tied
WI  (04...Kerry 50.......08 Obama 56.2) Obama leads +2.8
CO (04...Bush 51.7....08 Obama 52.8) Romney leads +0.2
IA   (04...Bush 50.1....08 Obama 53.9) Obama leads +2.4
NV (04...Bush 51.......08 Obama 55.2) Obama leads  +3

As it stands now, I think Obama holds Wisconsin, Iowa, Nevada, Colorado and Ohio for those 290 electoral votes.  I think that is where you will see an all-out push with candidate appearances and ads.  Florida and Virgina will see saturation tv commercials to see if they move blue, but the emphasis will be on the midwest which has been more solidly blue in the past few elections with little deviation.  The addition of Colorado will provide an extra safety valve in case Wisconsin goes red due to native son Ryan.

The phrase "three yards and a cloud of dust" was a phrase that was used to describe the offense of legendary college football coach Woody Hayes' teams.  His offense was a conservative, methodical ground game that would march down the field.  Sounds like the Obama campaign.  And where was Coach Hayes a legend?  Ohio State of course.  

Monday, October 22, 2012

15 days to go...........

The long campaign is almost over.  Tonight's foreign policy debate is the third and final debate between President Obama and Mitt Romney and will be in Boca Raton.  The race is very close with a slight edge to the president in the electoral college.  Anything can happen however at this stage including events beyond both candidates' control. 

There's a story circulating in right wing blogs that Gloria Allred the feminist attorney has some dirt on Romney that will prove damaging.  She has neither confirmed nor denied the story but has said she does not discuss her conversations with "clients".  If it's the stuff regarding Romney's leadership in the Mormon Church and his counseling women on abortion then I don 't think there's much there.  But if its an allegation about harrasssment, or an affair with proof (letters, emails, recordings, DNA) then Romney will be in deep trouble.  But we have no idea if there's anything to any of this.  Of course there's always a sympthaty backlash if it turns out to be real.  Bush's last weekend of the campaign in 2000 drunk driving revelation hurt him considerably.  http://www.humanevents.com/2012/10/21/is-this-gloria-allreds-romney-bashing-october-surprise/

In the meantime, both the Biden debate and the town hall debate in Long Island stopped the Obama slide and another convincing victory tonight will put Obama in the dominant position going into the final weeks.  What must the President do tonight? He must remind the voters that he has kept this country safe from attack, he has ended the war in Iraq and has an exit strategy for Afghanistan and that he has repaired this country's relationship with the world.  He must also DISQUALIFY Romney as as serious commander-in-chief.  He must tar him with the Bush Neo-Con label.  Point to his support for the Iraq war,  his campaign staffing with 17 of his 23 top foreign policy advisors Bush/Cheney retreads.  The last thing Americans want is anolther neo-con regime.  Even Daniel Ellsberg is supporting Obama this time, such is the necessity of  defeating the right wing in the United States.

Romney has proven throughout this campaign (and his entire political career) that expediency is his only ideology.  He is a liar and an empty suit--with apolgies to empty suits everywhere.   This is not leadership.  He was able to rescue his campaign with one great night in debate 1, but in 2 Obama bested him decisively and tonight the Obama has a chance to knock him out.  

This is one of those epochal elections.  If Obama wins, the bitterness and recriminations on the right will last a long time.  If he loses the same will happen on the Democratic side but less so.  The most dissapointing election I have ever witnessed was Bush's reelection in 2004.  He deserved to be a one-term president.  We are still recovering from the Bush/Cheney catastrophe.  Romn ey would be just as bad.  I want the right to feel just as hopeless and empty and devastated on November 7 as many of us felt in 2004.  I want them 
to eat shit.

Sunday, October 21, 2012

George McGovern: An American Hero

While that paragon of right-wing macho and bravado Ronald Wilson Reagan spent World War II on the backlot of a San Fernando Valley movie studio, George McGovern was killing Nazis while flying risky raids into Germany.  You see, Ronnie was always an actor and always a coward.  That is the essence of contemporary conservatism as evidenced by chicken hawks like Cheney, Limbaugh or Romney.  McGovern a man horrified by war, because he actually experienced it was too modest and too unchauvinistic to make his service in WW II an inoculation against charges of pacifism due to his ardent opposition to the disastrous war in Vietnam. 

Many of my progressive elders cut their teeth in politics in the McGovern campaign of 1972.  He was and is the most liberal/progressive major party candidate in the history of the United States.  I was only 7 at the time, and was not on his side then but I always remember something beguiling about him, his name and the alternate devotion and antipathy he engendered.  One Bright Shining Moment (2005) Stephen Vittorio's magnificent documentary on McGovern captures the highlights of the '72 campaign.  1972 was still the 60s and it wasn't until Nixon's resignation in disgrace in 1974 did that wild ride from 1963 to 1974 end. 
The good Senator standing next to Warhol's brilliant silkscreen for the '72 campaign
Dan Flavin's  untitled (to a man, George McGovern
The McGovern campain of 1972 was innovative and novel in so many ways--from reforming the Democratic Party to organizing in the Iowa caucuses, and pioneering a direct mail donor base of small contributors among other things.  But one overlooked aspect of the campaign was the enlistment of the creative community.  It wasn't just Shirley MacLaine, Warren Beatty, Gloria Steinhem and the rest. The leading contemporary artists of the day were onboard from Warhol to Flavin and both created iconic works for the campaign with Warhol's wickedly cutting "Vote McGovern" silkscreen featuring a scary looking Richard Nixon among the finest political works of the past half century.

I had the good fortune of speaking to McGovern in the '90s and I asked him a question he graciously called a great question that not many people had asked him before.  My question was  why he didn't run for president in 1976  after having been vindicated by the debacle of Nixon's second term?  He answered that he considered it and had wanted to do it himself and regrets not having tried, but that he couldn't muster much enthusiasm from his family and close supporters.  Many try to imagine the world if McGovern had won in 1972, but then we probably don't get the full story of Watergate and the disgraceful Indochina exits would have happened on his watch.  But a President McGovern in January 1977 would have been a fascinating prospect indeed.